La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Heracles Almelo v PSV Eindhoven
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Heracles Almelo (Local)
Predicción 11.32%8.84momio equitativo
EV +13.18%
Ventaja +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.193%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.49%11.31%11.36%13.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.758.398.5010.0014.81%11.92%11.76%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
PSV Eindhoven (Visitante)
Predicción 73.34%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.92%
Ventaja -3.00%
Kelly -12.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.13%73.36%73.37%75.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.261.271.3186.96%79.13%78.74%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 15.34%6.52momio equitativo
EV +3.56%
Ventaja +0.528%
Kelly +0.619%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.23%15.33%15.28%16.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.076.006.7518.52%16.46%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +13.18%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.193% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.09%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.92%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Coolbet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betsson | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| LeoVegas | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| BetRivers | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| 1xBet | 8.69I 11.51%NM 11.14%EV -1.65%E -0.190%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.42%EV +2.95%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -2.67%E -0.310%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.00%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 8.56I 11.68%NM 11.20%EV -3.12%E -0.365%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.50%EV +1.41%E +0.214%K +0.252%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bovada | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| BetUS | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| BetAnything | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -7.19%E -0.877%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Everygame | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:59 |
| Betway | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Fliff | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.49%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 17:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.58%EV -12.85%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.06%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.60%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.13%EV -12.73%E -10.69%K -66.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.22%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 73.19%EV -15.66%E -13.62%K -104.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.59%EV -17.15%E -3.18%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -17.95%E -2.48%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -20.78%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.61%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.53%EV -9.79%E -7.96%K -42.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Smarkets | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.24% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |