L’École des cotesFrançais
Heracles Almelo v PSV Eindhoven
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Heracles Almelo (Local)
Prévision 11.32%8.84cote équitable
EV +13.18%
Avantage +1.32%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.193%
avec la cote maximale 10.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.49%11.31%11.36%13.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.398.5010.0014.81%11.92%11.76%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
PSV Eindhoven (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.34%1.36cote équitable
EV -3.92%
Avantage -3.00%
Kelly -12.66%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.13%73.36%73.37%75.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.261.271.3186.96%79.13%78.74%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 15.34%6.52cote équitable
EV +3.56%
Avantage +0.528%
Kelly +0.619%
Croissance +0.022%
avec la cote maximale 6.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.23%15.33%15.28%16.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.076.006.7518.52%16.46%16.67%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +13.18%E +1.32%K +1.46%G +0.193% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 17:38 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.15%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.77%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.09%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.92%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV -1.81%E -0.283%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Coolbet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV +7.52%E +0.791%K +0.884%G +0.066% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betsson | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.22%EV +5.25%E +0.565%K +0.633%G +0.033% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.67%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.11%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| LeoVegas | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:20 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.54%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Bet Right | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| BetRivers | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -6.41%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV +1.86%E +0.207%K +0.232%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| 1xBet | 8.69I 11.51%NM 11.14%EV -1.65%E -0.190%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.71I 14.90%NM 14.42%EV +2.95%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.84%EV -2.67%E -0.310%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.00%EV -7.59%E -6.03%K -29.20%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.16%EV -5.64%E -0.918%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Pinnacle | 8.56I 11.68%NM 11.20%EV -3.12%E -0.365%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.50%EV +1.41%E +0.214%K +0.252%G +0.004% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.30%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.47%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +3.56%E +0.528%K +0.619%G +0.022% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| DraftKings | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -0.274%E -0.042%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.80%E -0.447%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bovada | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| BetUS | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:29 |
| BetAnything | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -6.63%E -0.804%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.40%K -25.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.46%EV -7.19%E -0.877%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -4.88%E -0.787%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Everygame | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.12%E -4.79%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| Fanatics | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:59 |
| Betway | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:05 |
| Fliff | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.09%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.49%EV -9.48%E -1.61%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.38%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.44%EV -9.06%E -7.31%K -37.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -9.46%E -1.18%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| BetMGM | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.26%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.92%E -3.00%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 17:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -12.29%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.49%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 17:38 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.58%EV -12.85%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.06%EV -10.53%E -8.63%K -47.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.37%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Coral | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -4.66%E -3.58%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -7.95%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 17:19 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -11.01%E -1.90%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 888sport | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -11.78%E -2.05%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Sky Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.60%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.13%EV -12.73%E -10.69%K -66.98%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.27%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-28 17:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.22%EV -15.12%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 73.19%EV -15.66%E -13.62%K -104.39%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.59%EV -17.15%E -3.18%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.56%EV -17.95%E -2.48%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.86%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -4.11%E -0.658%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| BoyleSports | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -20.78%E -2.97%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -8.33%E -6.66%K -33.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -15.62%E -2.84%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.03%EV -23.61%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.53%EV -9.79%E -7.96%K -42.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.44%EV -12.55%E -2.20%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.55% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.55% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 17:35 |
| Smarkets | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.24% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.49% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 17:40 |