Oddsskolan

Heracles Almelo v Ajax

Matchstart: 2026-04-11 19:01 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Heracles Almelo (Hemma)

Prognos 18.10%5.53rättvist odds
EV +10.40%
Fördel +1.71%
Kelly +2.04%
Tillväxt +0.212%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
15.97%18.11%18.12%19.09%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.605.315.256.1021.74%18.84%19.05%16.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Ajax (Borta)

Prognos 60.93%1.64rättvist odds
EV -3.74%
Fördel -2.37%
Kelly -6.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.58

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.95%60.87%60.87%62.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.431.511.501.5869.93%66.13%66.67%63.29%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.98%4.77rättvist odds
EV -0.782%
Fördel -0.165%
Kelly -0.210%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.73

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.24%21.02%21.01%21.99%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.004.414.404.7325.00%22.66%22.73%21.14%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +10.40%E +1.71%K +2.04%G +0.212%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 19:00
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +8.59%E +1.43%K +1.72%G +0.148%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 19:00
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +4.97%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.052%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 19:00
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:00
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 19:00
LeoVegas5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.44%E -7.10%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 19:00
1xBet5.71I 17.51%NM 16.98%EV +3.34%E +0.586%K +0.710%G +0.024%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.16%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -2.46%E -0.529%K -0.674%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 18:59
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.00%E -5.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 19:00
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 19:00
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-11 19:00
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:59
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:59
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 19:00
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 19:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 19:00
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.85%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:49
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.08%E -0.769%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 18:59
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 19:00
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 19:00
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 19:00
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 19:00
BetAnything5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.79%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 18:59
Pinnacle5.12I 19.53%NM 18.79%EV -7.33%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.34%EV -0.782%E -0.165%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 18:59
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 18:58
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:59
Betclic (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 18:59
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 19:00
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 19:00
LowVig.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 19:00
BetOnline.ag4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 19:00
Unibet (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -12.22%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 61.10%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 18:59
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.13%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -12.88%E -9.00%K -29.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 18:59
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 19:00
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -16.09%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 19:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%3.1%2026-04-11 19:00