مدرسة الاحتمالاتHeracles Almelo v Ajax
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Heracles Almelo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 18.10%5.53السعر العادل
EV +10.40%
الأفضلية +1.71%
Kelly +2.04%
النمو +0.212%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.97%18.11%18.12%19.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.315.256.1021.74%18.84%19.05%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Ajax (الضيف)
التنبؤ 60.93%1.64السعر العادل
EV -3.74%
الأفضلية -2.37%
Kelly -6.45%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.58
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.95%60.87%60.87%62.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.511.501.5869.93%66.13%66.67%63.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 20.98%4.77السعر العادل
EV -0.782%
الأفضلية -0.165%
Kelly -0.210%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.73
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.24%21.02%21.01%21.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.414.404.7325.00%22.66%22.73%21.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (35 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +10.40%E +1.71%K +2.04%G +0.212% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +8.59%E +1.43%K +1.72%G +0.148% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +4.97%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.052% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.44%E -7.10%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.98%EV +3.34%E +0.586%K +0.710%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.16%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -2.46%E -0.529%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.00%E -5.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.85%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.08%E -0.769%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.79%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.79%EV -7.33%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.34%EV -0.782%E -0.165%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:58 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -12.22%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.10%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.13%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -12.88%E -9.00%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -16.09%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (1)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |