La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Heracles Almelo v Ajax
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Heracles Almelo (Casa)
Previsione 18.10%5.53quota equa
EV +10.40%
Vantaggio +1.71%
Kelly +2.04%
Crescita +0.212%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.97%18.11%18.12%19.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.315.256.1021.74%18.84%19.05%16.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Ajax (Trasferta)
Previsione 60.93%1.64quota equa
EV -3.74%
Vantaggio -2.37%
Kelly -6.45%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.95%60.87%60.87%62.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.511.501.5869.93%66.13%66.67%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 20.98%4.77quota equa
EV -0.782%
Vantaggio -0.165%
Kelly -0.210%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.24%21.02%21.01%21.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.414.404.7325.00%22.66%22.73%21.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +10.40%E +1.71%K +2.04%G +0.212% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +8.59%E +1.43%K +1.72%G +0.148% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +4.97%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.052% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.44%E -7.10%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.98%EV +3.34%E +0.586%K +0.710%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.16%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -2.46%E -0.529%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.00%E -5.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetRivers | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.85%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.08%E -0.769%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetAnything | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.79%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.79%EV -7.33%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.34%EV -0.782%E -0.165%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:58 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -12.22%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.10%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.13%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -12.88%E -9.00%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -16.09%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |