Langue:Français
Heracles Almelo v Ajax
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Heracles Almelo (Local)
Prévision 18.10%5.53cote équitable
EV +10.40%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.04%
Croissance +0.212%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.97%18.11%18.12%19.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.315.256.1021.74%18.84%19.05%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ajax (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.93%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -6.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.95%60.87%60.87%62.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.511.501.5869.93%66.13%66.67%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 20.98%4.77cote équitable
EV -0.782%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.210%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.73
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.24%21.02%21.01%21.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.414.404.7325.00%22.66%22.73%21.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Heracles Almelo (Local) : 18.10% ; Ajax (Visiteur) : 60.93% ; Match nul : 20.98%. Pour Heracles Almelo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.53. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.10, soit une espérance positive de +10.40%.
Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +10.40%E +1.71%K +2.04%G +0.212% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +8.59%E +1.43%K +1.72%G +0.148% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.68%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.12%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +4.97%E +0.857%K +1.04%G +0.052% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.52%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV +4.07%E +0.707%K +0.856%G +0.035% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -10.44%E -7.10%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.71I 17.51%NM 16.98%EV +3.34%E +0.586%K +0.710%G +0.024% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.16%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.85%EV -2.46%E -0.529%K -0.674%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.72%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.00%EV -8.00%E -5.30%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV +1.35%E +0.242%K +0.294%G +0.004% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.49%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -0.457%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.55%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -2.27%E -0.420%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.70%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.85%E -2.55%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -4.08%E -0.769%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.41%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.98%EV -6.66%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -4.98%E -0.949%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.01%EV -7.39%E -4.86%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.79%E -1.32%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -3.51%E -0.763%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.79%EV -7.33%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.88%EV -3.74%E -2.37%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.34%EV -0.782%E -0.165%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.78%E -4.43%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 18:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -9.83%E -6.64%K -20.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -5.61%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.51%E -1.90%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.90%E -2.83%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -11.32%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.09%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -7.70%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.39%EV -12.22%E -2.52%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 61.10%EV -11.05%E -7.57%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -8.75%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.27%EV -13.13%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.33%EV -12.88%E -9.00%K -29.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -9.80%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -14.03%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.61%E -5.74%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -9.17%E -2.12%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -16.75%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.22%E -6.19%K -18.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -16.09%E -4.02%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 19:00 |