默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Groningen v FC Zwolle

开赛时间: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

最终结果: Groningen 3–0 FC Zwolle

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Groningen (主队)

预测 62.58%1.60公平赔率
EV +1.38%
优势 +0.855%
Kelly +2.23%
增长率 +0.031%

假设最高赔率为 1.62

博彩公司预测分布
57.93%62.56%62.63%65.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.481.481.6270.92%67.62%67.57%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Zwolle (客队)

预测 17.21%5.81公平赔率
EV +11.86%
优势 +1.82%
Kelly +2.16%
增长率 +0.256%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.88%17.23%17.14%20.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.505.506.5021.74%18.18%18.18%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.21%4.95公平赔率
EV +1.04%
优势 +0.208%
Kelly +0.260%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 5.00

博彩公司预测分布
18.92%20.21%20.23%21.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.584.605.0023.81%21.82%21.74%20.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Groningen (主队):62.58%;FC Zwolle (客队):17.21%;平局:20.21%。 对于“FC Zwolle (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.81。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为6.50,对应+11.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +7.56%E +1.21%K +1.44%G +0.109%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.84%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -8.05%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -9.06%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:45
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.95%EV -3.00%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.90%EV -2.25%E -0.397%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.15%EV -8.25%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.45%EV -11.76%E -8.34%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%4.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.06%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.33%EV -6.21%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.83%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:33
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 12:05
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -7.59%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -8.25%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:24
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.68%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -12.24%E -2.40%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -12.24%E -2.40%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.13%E -3.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.68%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -15.68%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV +1.38%E +0.855%K +2.23%G +0.031%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -20.84%E -4.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-09-18 10:40