Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Groningen v FC Zwolle

Начало: 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Итог: Groningen 3–0 FC Zwolle

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Groningen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 62.58%1.60справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.38%
Преимущество +0.855%
Kelly +2.23%
Рост +0.031%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
57.93%62.56%62.63%65.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.411.481.481.6270.92%67.62%67.57%61.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

FC Zwolle (Гости)

Прогноз 17.21%5.81справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.86%
Преимущество +1.82%
Kelly +2.16%
Рост +0.256%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.88%17.23%17.14%20.40%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.505.506.5021.74%18.18%18.18%15.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.21%4.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.04%
Преимущество +0.208%
Kelly +0.260%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.92%20.21%20.23%21.94%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.584.605.0023.81%21.82%21.74%20.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Groningen (Хозяева): 62.58%; FC Zwolle (Гости): 17.21%; Ничья: 20.21%. Для исхода «FC Zwolle (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.81. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +11.86%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +7.56%E +1.21%K +1.44%G +0.109%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.84%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -8.05%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -9.06%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:45
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.95%EV -3.00%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.90%EV -2.25%E -0.397%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.15%EV -8.25%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.45%EV -11.76%E -8.34%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%4.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.06%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.33%EV -6.21%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.83%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:33
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 12:05
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -7.59%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -8.25%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:24
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.68%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -12.24%E -2.40%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -12.24%E -2.40%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.13%E -3.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.68%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -15.68%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV +1.38%E +0.855%K +2.23%G +0.031%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -20.84%E -4.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-09-18 10:40