Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Groningen v FC Zwolle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 18:00 UTC

Score final : Groningen 3–0 FC Zwolle

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Groningen (Local)

Prévision 62.58%1.60cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.855%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.93%62.56%62.63%65.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.481.481.6270.92%67.62%67.57%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

FC Zwolle (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.21%5.81cote équitable
EV +11.86%
Avantage +1.82%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.256%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.88%17.23%17.14%20.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.505.506.5021.74%18.18%18.18%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.21%4.95cote équitable
EV +1.04%
Avantage +0.208%
Kelly +0.260%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%20.21%20.23%21.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.584.605.0023.81%21.82%21.74%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Groningen (Local) : 62.58% ; FC Zwolle (Visiteur) : 17.21% ; Match nul : 20.21%. Pour FC Zwolle (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.81. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +11.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 65.22%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.37%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +11.86%E +1.82%K +2.16%G +0.256%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV +7.56%E +1.21%K +1.44%G +0.109%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.84%EV -4.25%E -2.78%K -8.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.13%EV -8.05%E -1.77%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -9.25%E -6.38%K -20.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV +3.25%E +0.542%K +0.651%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -9.06%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:45
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.27%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 14:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.54%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -1.05%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:15
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.95%EV -3.00%E -1.93%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.90%EV -2.25%E -0.397%K -0.482%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.15%EV -8.25%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 15:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -2.37%E -1.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.89%EV -2.77%E -0.490%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.94%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 15:08
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.45%EV -11.76%E -8.34%K -28.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.98%EV -3.63%E -0.648%K -0.789%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.57%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 13:15
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%4.8%2026-09-18 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:30
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 15:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.65%EV -7.38%E -4.98%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -6.75%E -4.53%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 14:20
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -9.06%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 15:09
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.35%E -0.973%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.33%EV -6.21%E -1.14%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:20
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.83%EV -4.87%E -3.21%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.49%EV -0.979%E -0.200%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 14:33
Codere (IT)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.73%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -7.07%E -1.31%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 12:05
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.50%E -3.64%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.42%EV -7.59%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.61%EV -8.25%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:24
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV +1.04%E +0.208%K +0.260%G +0.003%5.7%2026-09-18 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -3.00%E -0.625%K -0.790%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -4.01%E -0.844%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.48%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.68%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.65%E -1.84%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.01%EV -11.13%E -7.84%K -26.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -12.24%E -2.40%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -7.04%E -1.53%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-18 12:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -10.51%E -7.35%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -12.24%E -2.40%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -13.10%E -3.05%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:09
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -11.08%E -2.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-18 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 14:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.88%E -6.86%K -22.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -13.96%E -2.79%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -15.13%E -3.60%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-18 15:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -8.00%E -5.44%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -15.68%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.57%EV -6.13%E -4.08%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -15.68%E -3.20%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -12.09%E -2.78%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 12:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.93%EV -8.63%E -5.91%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -17.40%E -3.62%K -4.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -5.02%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.93%EV +1.38%E +0.855%K +2.23%G +0.031%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -20.84%E -4.53%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -12.50%E -2.89%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-15 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%2.1%2026-09-18 10:40