Szkoła Kursów

Groningen v Ajax

Początek: 2026-03-07 15:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Groningen (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 33.09%3.02kurs godziwy
EV -0.386%
Przewaga -0.128%
Kelly -0.192%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.01

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.68%33.03%33.13%34.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.822.853.0139.22%35.49%35.09%33.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ajax (Goście)

Prognoza 41.13%2.43kurs godziwy
EV -2.12%
Przewaga -0.889%
Kelly -1.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
40.02%41.19%41.06%42.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.002.252.252.3850.00%44.44%44.44%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.78%3.88kurs godziwy
EV -2.05%
Przewaga -0.538%
Kelly -0.730%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.80

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.19%25.78%25.81%28.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.583.603.8033.33%27.94%27.78%26.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

1 bukmacher oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (2-opcyjny zamiast 3-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.386%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.15%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -2.56%E -0.677%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:49
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:50
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:49
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 15:09
Pinnacle2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.70%EV -2.12%E -0.889%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -3.59%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 15:24
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.28%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.05%E -0.538%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.28%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.05%E -0.538%K -0.730%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 15:20
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.62%EV -6.23%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -6.23%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:20
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:45
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:44
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:44
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 11:24
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 11:24
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.02%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 15:24
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 15:04
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 15:24
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:25
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 15:24
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 15:04
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:49
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -8.28%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -8.28%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:50
Betclic (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.70%EV -6.67%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.98%EV -14.45%E -6.95%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -9.00%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 15:11
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 15:24
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:24
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:14
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -6.23%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -6.69%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:25
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 15:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:49
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:25
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 15:25
Fliff2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 15:04
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -10.34%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -10.34%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 15:24
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:19
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 15:25
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 15:24
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:04
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 15:04
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.93%E -4.53%K -6.49%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-07 15:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-07 15:24
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -11.64%E -4.36%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.44%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.64%E -4.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-07 15:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -12.96%E -4.93%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.67%E -7.56%K -11.33%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-07 15:04
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.29%E -5.07%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 15:04
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -13.95%E -5.37%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -11.58%E -5.38%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 15:24
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.55%EV -15.61%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.51%EV -17.74%E -8.87%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.94%EV -17.51%E -5.47%K -7.96%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-07 15:04
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-07 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-03-07 15:25
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-03-07 15:25
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%4.0%2026-03-07 15:25

Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (1)

Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.

BukmacherOpcja 1Opcja 2Marża ▲Aktualizacja
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 44.66%2.30I 43.48%NM 55.34%-21.4%2026-03-07 15:25