L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.01
avec la cote maximale 2.38
avec la cote maximale 3.80
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (2 issues, contre le format 3 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.386%E -0.128%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.15%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -2.56%E -0.677%K -0.921%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.76%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.47%EV -4.17%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -2.37%E -0.804%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.33%E -0.889%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 15:09 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.40%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.70%EV -2.12%E -0.889%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.90%EV -3.59%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.28%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.05%E -0.538%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.31%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.28%EV -3.76%E -1.61%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.05%E -0.538%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 15:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.41%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.62%EV -6.23%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 14:39 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.48%EV -6.23%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.03%E -1.39%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 15:20 |
| Casumo | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| betPARX | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| William Hill | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 11:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 11:24 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.07%EV -5.02%E -1.75%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Betsson | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.35%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.23%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.91%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -8.28%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.63%EV -8.28%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.70%EV -6.67%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.98%EV -14.45%E -6.95%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.32%EV -9.00%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 15:11 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.44%EV -4.58%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 15:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91%EV -6.23%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -6.69%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.46%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Fliff | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -10.34%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -7.34%E -2.62%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -10.34%E -4.74%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.62%E -1.25%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 15:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.20%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -14.93%E -4.53%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.36%E -3.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -11.64%E -4.36%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.44%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.64%E -4.07%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-07 15:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -12.96%E -4.93%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -13.63%E -6.49%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.67%E -7.56%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.29%E -5.07%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.78%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -13.95%E -5.37%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.81%EV -11.58%E -5.38%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.55%EV -15.61%E -6.12%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.51%EV -17.74%E -8.87%K -17.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.94%EV -17.51%E -5.47%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 20.5% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.82% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97% | 4.0% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 44.66% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 55.34% | -21.4% | 2026-03-07 15:25 |