La scuola delle quote

FC Volendam v SC Telstar

Inizio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Finale: FC Volendam 1–2 SC Telstar

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Volendam (Casa)

Previsione 36.24%2.76quota equa
EV +3.28%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescita +0.058%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.12%36.23%36.25%37.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.592.602.8542.02%38.63%38.46%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Telstar (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.67%2.65quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.59%37.73%37.63%39.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.95%40.82%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.09%3.83quota equa
EV -0.852%
Vantaggio -0.224%
Kelly -0.304%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.38%26.04%26.12%28.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.533.603.8033.33%28.34%27.78%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -0.702%E -0.256%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.57%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -8.84%E -3.65%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.64%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 04:30
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.58%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -15.20%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.16%E -0.575%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:34
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:55
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:54
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.98%EV -10.49%E -4.25%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.50%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:01
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:54
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.36%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.05%EV -21.73%E -7.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:00