La escuela de los momios

FC Volendam v SC Telstar

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Final: FC Volendam 1–2 SC Telstar

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Volendam (Local)

Predicción 36.24%2.76momio equitativo
EV +3.28%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.058%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%36.23%36.25%37.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.592.602.8542.02%38.63%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Telstar (Visitante)

Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%37.73%37.63%39.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.95%40.82%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.852%
Ventaja -0.224%
Kelly -0.304%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.38%26.04%26.12%28.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.603.8033.33%28.34%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -0.702%E -0.256%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.57%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -8.84%E -3.65%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.64%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 04:30
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.58%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -15.20%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.16%E -0.575%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:34
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:55
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:54
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.98%EV -10.49%E -4.25%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.50%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:01
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:54
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.36%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.05%EV -21.73%E -7.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:00