L’École des cotes

FC Volendam v SC Telstar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Score final : FC Volendam 1–2 SC Telstar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Volendam (Local)

Prévision 36.24%2.76cote équitable
EV +3.28%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.12%36.23%36.25%37.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.592.602.8542.02%38.63%38.46%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Telstar (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.67%2.65cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%37.73%37.63%39.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.95%40.82%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.09%3.83cote équitable
EV -0.852%
Avantage -0.224%
Kelly -0.304%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.38%26.04%26.12%28.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.603.8033.33%28.34%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -0.702%E -0.256%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.57%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -8.84%E -3.65%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.64%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 04:30
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.58%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -15.20%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.16%E -0.575%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:34
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:55
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:54
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.98%EV -10.49%E -4.25%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.50%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:01
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:54
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.36%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.05%EV -21.73%E -7.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:00