مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Volendam v SC Telstar

البداية: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Volendam 1–2 SC Telstar

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Volendam (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.24%2.76السعر العادل
EV +3.28%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.78%
النمو +0.058%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.12%36.23%36.25%37.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.382.592.602.8542.02%38.63%38.46%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

SC Telstar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.67%2.65السعر العادل
EV -2.82%
الأفضلية -1.09%
Kelly -1.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.59%37.73%37.63%39.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.442.452.5843.48%40.95%40.82%38.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.09%3.83السعر العادل
EV -0.852%
الأفضلية -0.224%
Kelly -0.304%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.38%26.04%26.12%28.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.533.603.8033.33%28.34%27.78%26.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV +3.28%E +1.15%K +1.78%G +0.058%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.03%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.73%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 05:40
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -0.702%E -0.256%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.57%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.38%EV -5.03%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -9.98%E -2.89%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -2.15%E -0.797%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 05:40
Marathon Bet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -3.60%E -1.35%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.56%EV -8.84%E -3.65%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -7.64%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:15
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:40
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -3.96%E -1.50%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 04:30
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.58%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.28%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.14%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 34.43%EV -4.69%E -1.78%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 04:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:45
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.05%E -1.93%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:35
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.88%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.84%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:50
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 07:50
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:45
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:49
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.29%E -3.32%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.53%EV -12.61%E -5.43%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -13.90%E -4.21%K -6.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 04:30
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -5.78%E -2.22%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -15.20%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 05:40
Bovada2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:12
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.54%EV -6.50%E -2.52%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.27%EV -4.70%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 08:15
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -7.23%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -3.57%E -1.39%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -2.16%E -0.575%K -0.784%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 07:56
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:34
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:45
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.59%E -2.98%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -7.38%E -2.08%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 07:50
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 07:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 07:56
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:55
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:55
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.20%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -4.77%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 07:50
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.40%E -3.76%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:54
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.98%EV -10.49%E -4.25%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.50%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -12.59%E -3.76%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:01
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.71%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -0.852%E -0.224%K -0.304%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 07:54
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -11.21%E -4.58%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.48%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 07:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -3.46%E -0.936%K -1.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-17 07:54
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.02%E -5.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -6.07%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.31%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.48%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 07:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.36%EV -13.75%E -5.78%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.59%EV -13.36%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.05%EV -21.73%E -7.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-17 07:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-17 07:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-05-17 08:20
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-05-17 08:00