StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 16:45 UTC

Slutresultat: FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Utrecht (Hemma)

Prognos 32.46%3.08rättvist odds
EV +1.28%
Fördel +0.411%
Kelly +0.605%
Tillväxt +0.008%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.11%32.52%32.48%35.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.852.853.1237.04%35.10%35.09%32.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Borta)

Prognos 41.15%2.43rättvist odds
EV +0.816%
Fördel +0.333%
Kelly +0.563%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.64%41.09%41.12%43.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.282.282.4546.51%43.93%43.86%40.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.39%3.79rättvist odds
EV -0.252%
Fördel -0.067%
Kelly -0.091%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.78

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.44%26.40%26.39%27.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.523.503.7830.77%28.42%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Utrecht (Hemma): 32.46%; AZ Alkmaar (Borta): 41.15%; Oavgjort: 26.39%. För FC Utrecht (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.08. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.12, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.28%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV +1.28%E +0.411%K +0.605%G +0.008%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.28%EV -7.83%E -3.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -0.252%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.633%E +0.204%K +0.301%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:30
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -1.96%E -0.650%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.95%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:30
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:39
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:34
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:34
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:18
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.16%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
BetUS🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.49%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:30
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.18%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:54
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -10.71%E -4.93%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:34
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 16:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV +0.816%E +0.333%K +0.563%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:24
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-15 16:24
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-15 16:40