Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 16:45 UTC

Score final : FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Prévision 32.46%3.08cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.411%
Kelly +0.605%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%32.52%32.48%35.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.852.853.1237.04%35.10%35.09%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.15%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.816%
Avantage +0.333%
Kelly +0.563%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.64%41.09%41.12%43.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.282.4546.51%43.93%43.86%40.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.39%3.79cote équitable
EV -0.252%
Avantage -0.067%
Kelly -0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.44%26.40%26.39%27.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.7830.77%28.42%28.57%26.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Utrecht (Local) : 32.46% ; AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur) : 41.15% ; Match nul : 26.39%. Pour FC Utrecht (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.08. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.12, soit une espérance positive de +1.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV +1.28%E +0.411%K +0.605%G +0.008%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.28%EV -7.83%E -3.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -0.252%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.633%E +0.204%K +0.301%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:30
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -1.96%E -0.650%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.95%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:30
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:39
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:34
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:34
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:18
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.16%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
BetUS🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.49%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:30
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.18%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:54
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -10.71%E -4.93%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:34
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 16:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV +0.816%E +0.333%K +0.563%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:24
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-15 16:24
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-15 16:40