Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Utrecht (Local): 32.46%; AZ Alkmaar (Visitante): 41.15%; Empate: 26.39%. Para FC Utrecht (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.08. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.12, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV +1.28%E +0.411%K +0.605%G +0.008% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.28%EV -7.83%E -3.49%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -0.252%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.633%E +0.204%K +0.301%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -1.96%E -0.650%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.95%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 16:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.16%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 16:23 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.49%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.18%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.10%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -10.71%E -4.93%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 16:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV +0.816%E +0.333%K +0.563%G +0.005% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 16:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 16:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 16:40 |