Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar

Início: 2026-08-15 16:45 UTC

Final: FC Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Utrecht (Local)

Previsão 32.46%3.08odd justa
EV +1.28%
Vantagem +0.411%
Kelly +0.605%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.11%32.52%32.48%35.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.852.853.1237.04%35.10%35.09%32.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

AZ Alkmaar (Visitante)

Previsão 41.15%2.43odd justa
EV +0.816%
Vantagem +0.333%
Kelly +0.563%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.64%41.09%41.12%43.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.282.4546.51%43.93%43.86%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.39%3.79odd justa
EV -0.252%
Vantagem -0.067%
Kelly -0.091%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.44%26.40%26.39%27.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.523.503.7830.77%28.42%28.57%26.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Utrecht (Local): 32.46%; AZ Alkmaar (Visitante): 41.15%; Empate: 26.39%. Para FC Utrecht (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.08. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.12, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV +1.28%E +0.411%K +0.605%G +0.008%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.28%EV -7.83%E -3.49%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.65%EV -0.252%E -0.067%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV +0.633%E +0.204%K +0.301%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:30
Pinnacle🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 32.05%EV -1.96%E -0.650%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.59%EV -3.95%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 16:30
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.87%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:39
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.61%E -0.871%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:34
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.11%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.83%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:34
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 16:18
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:39
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -4.89%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.16%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 16:23
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
BetUS🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:20
BetAnything🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 33.10%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.13%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV -1.04%E -0.278%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.16%EV -5.21%E -1.78%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.32%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.53%EV -9.49%E -2.77%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.38%EV -1.24%E -0.517%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.19%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 16:29
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.27%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:19
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.33%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 16:30
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.86%E -2.02%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -6.18%E -2.14%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.00%E -3.10%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:54
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.36%E -0.639%K -0.875%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.14%EV -4.53%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 16:29
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.92%E -3.91%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.28%EV -10.71%E -4.93%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.11%E -3.25%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.96%E -2.60%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:35
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 16:34
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -6.18%E -2.71%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 16:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 16:19
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 16:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV +0.816%E +0.333%K +0.563%G +0.005%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 16:29
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.41%E -3.29%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 16:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.69%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.46%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -12.35%E -4.57%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 16:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:35
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77%1.0%2026-08-15 16:24
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-15 16:24
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-08-15 16:40