StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior (Hemma)

Prognos 15.30%6.54rättvist odds
EV +7.71%
Fördel +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Tillväxt +0.098%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
13.67%15.32%15.25%17.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.006.186.007.0420.00%16.19%16.67%14.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

PSV Eindhoven (Borta)

Prognos 65.93%1.52rättvist odds
EV -2.43%
Fördel -1.64%
Kelly -5.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
63.11%65.85%65.99%68.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.331.411.421.4875.19%70.78%70.67%67.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.77%5.33rättvist odds
EV -1.44%
Fördel -0.274%
Kelly -0.339%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.63%18.83%18.76%20.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.354.854.805.2522.99%20.64%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Excelsior (Hemma): 15.30%; PSV Eindhoven (Borta): 65.93%; Oavgjort: 18.77%. För Excelsior (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.54. 13 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.04, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.71%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯7.04I 14.20%NM 13.67%EV +7.71%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.098%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.78%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.55%EV -2.57%E -0.494%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:25
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:24
BetAnything🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:55
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:19
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:54
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -9.02%E -6.54%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.26%E -0.834%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV +2.50%E +0.374%K +0.439%G +0.011%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:59
1xBet🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +1.74%E +0.262%K +0.308%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -8.76%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:15
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:54
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 17:22
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 17:15
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:53
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 17:29
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -2.09%E -0.326%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.85%E -0.449%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:54
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 17:55
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.56%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.14%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.73%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:30
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -6.67%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:55
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:53
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:54
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:54
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:45
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -12.03%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.32%E -2.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:55
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:55
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -18.91%E -3.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.60%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -20.44%E -3.93%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.48%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 17:54
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -23.50%E -4.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-15 17:18
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.0%2026-08-15 17:50
Matchbook◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.6%2026-08-15 17:55