Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Excelsior v PSV Eindhoven

Inizio: 2026-08-15 18:00 UTC

Finale: Excelsior 1–2 PSV Eindhoven

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Excelsior (Casa)

Previsione 15.30%6.54quota equa
EV +7.71%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.098%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.67%15.32%15.25%17.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.186.007.0420.00%16.19%16.67%14.20%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta)

Previsione 65.93%1.52quota equa
EV -2.43%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -5.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.11%65.85%65.99%68.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.411.421.4875.19%70.78%70.67%67.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.77%5.33quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.274%
Kelly -0.339%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.63%18.83%18.76%20.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.354.854.805.2522.99%20.64%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Excelsior (Casa): 15.30%; PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta): 65.93%; Pareggio: 18.77%. Per Excelsior (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.54. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.04, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.71%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯7.04I 14.20%NM 13.67%EV +7.71%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.098%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.78%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.55%EV -2.57%E -0.494%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:25
BetUS🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:24
BetAnything🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-15 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-15 17:54
Svenska Spel🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 17:55
Coolbet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 17:19
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 17:54
SportsBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -9.02%E -6.54%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.26%E -0.834%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV +2.50%E +0.374%K +0.439%G +0.011%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:59
1xBet🎯6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +1.74%E +0.262%K +0.308%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -8.76%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:15
Grosvenor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 17:54
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 17:22
Bet Right🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 17:15
betfred_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 17:53
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 17:29
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -2.09%E -0.326%K -0.386%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 17:55
Marathon Bet🎯6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.85%E -0.449%K -0.533%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:54
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 17:55
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.56%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 17:45
Codere (IT)🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.14%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.73%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 17:30
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -6.67%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 17:55
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:53
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 17:55
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 17:54
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 17:54
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
TABtouch🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:54
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 17:55
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 17:24
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 17:45
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -12.03%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 17:54
Betclic (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.32%E -2.56%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 17:55
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:55
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Unibet (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 17:54
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -18.91%E -3.57%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.60%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 17:54
Winamax (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -20.44%E -3.93%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.48%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 17:54
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -23.50%E -4.70%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-15 17:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-08-15 17:55
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%1.0%2026-08-15 17:50
Matchbook◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-08-15 17:55
Smarkets◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.38%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%1.6%2026-08-15 17:55