Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.04
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.48
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.25
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Excelsior (Casa): 15.30%; PSV Eindhoven (Trasferta): 65.93%; Pareggio: 18.77%. Per Excelsior (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.54. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.04, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.71%.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.67%EV +7.71%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.098% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.78%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.55%EV -2.57%E -0.494%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -9.02%E -6.54%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.26%E -0.834%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV +2.50%E +0.374%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +1.74%E +0.262%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -8.76%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 17:22 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -2.09%E -0.326%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.85%E -0.449%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.56%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.14%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.73%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -6.67%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -12.03%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.32%E -2.56%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -18.91%E -3.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.60%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -20.44%E -3.93%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.48%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -23.50%E -4.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-15 17:18 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.38% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |