Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 7.04
avec la cote maximale 1.48
avec la cote maximale 5.25
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Excelsior (Local) : 15.30% ; PSV Eindhoven (Visiteur) : 65.93% ; Match nul : 18.77%. Pour Excelsior (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.54. 13 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.04, soit une espérance positive de +7.71%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.04I 14.20%NM 13.67%EV +7.71%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.098% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.78%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.55%EV -2.57%E -0.494%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.77%EV +7.09%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.084% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.36%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.92%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.58%EV -5.19%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV +3.27%E +0.484%K +0.569%G +0.019% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.80%EV -9.02%E -6.54%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -4.26%E -0.834%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV +2.50%E +0.374%K +0.439%G +0.011% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.65I 15.04%NM 14.57%EV +1.74%E +0.262%K +0.308%G +0.005% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.94%EV -8.76%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.83%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.87%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 17:22 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.35%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 17:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -0.555%E -0.085%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.77%E -2.50%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -2.09%E -0.326%K -0.386%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -2.85%E -0.449%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.68%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -4.38%E -0.701%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.56%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -5.14%E -0.830%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.73%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -2.38%E -0.457%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.10%EV -6.67%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.42%EV -5.72%E -4.00%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -1.44%E -0.274%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.38%E -4.50%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -15.52%E -3.45%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.20%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.32%E -9.26%K -37.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.29%EV -3.09%E -2.10%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -9.89%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -9.73%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.68%E -7.07%K -26.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.64%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.26%E -1.94%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.97%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -18.34%E -4.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -12.03%E -2.09%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.41%E -3.04%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -14.32%E -2.56%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.11%EV -5.06%E -3.52%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.40%E -3.95%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -2.43%E -1.64%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -15.85%E -2.88%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -7.70%E -5.50%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -18.91%E -3.57%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.60%EV -7.04%E -4.99%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -6.13%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.23%EV -20.44%E -3.93%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.48%EV -8.36%E -6.02%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -8.01%E -1.63%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-15 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -23.50%E -4.70%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -10.34%E -7.60%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.37%EV -10.83%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-15 17:18 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.31% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.05% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.38% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56% | 1.6% | 2026-08-15 17:55 |