Oddsskolan

Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen

Matchstart: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Excelsior (Hemma)

Prognos 25.91%3.86rättvist odds
EV +2.35%
Fördel +0.596%
Kelly +0.798%
Tillväxt +0.019%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.00%25.83%25.89%27.16%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.303.643.653.9530.30%27.44%27.40%25.32%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

NEC Nijmegen (Borta)

Prognos 50.03%2.00rättvist odds
EV -2.45%
Fördel -1.26%
Kelly -2.58%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.50%50.03%50.03%52.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.731.851.851.9557.80%53.98%54.05%51.28%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.06%4.16rättvist odds
EV -1.34%
Fördel -0.328%
Kelly -0.433%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.41%24.14%24.08%25.97%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.303.843.904.1030.30%26.01%25.64%24.39%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67%EV +2.35%E +0.596%K +0.798%G +0.019%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.56%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -1.34%E -0.328%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.365%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:30
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.365%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.365%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:34
1xBet3.89I 25.71%NM 24.94%EV +0.799%E +0.205%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:54
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.237%E -0.062%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:30
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -1.34%E -0.328%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -1.34%E -0.328%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:34
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:30
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:30
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Pinnacle3.79I 26.39%NM 25.51%EV -1.79%E -0.473%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.55%E -0.629%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:55
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:30
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:30
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:30
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:34
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:35
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:48
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.64%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.60%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:53
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:34
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:34
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:30
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 12:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:30
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:44
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:00
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 12:15
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:34
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 12:34
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 12:34
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:34
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -13.46%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -20.59%E -6.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 18:45
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 26.00%EV -11.12%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.91%EV -10.25%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 18:35
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.17%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 18:54
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.18%EV -7.95%E -4.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.96%E -6.79%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -12.17%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.25%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:59
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 12:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-04 18:55
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-04-04 18:20