Szkoła Kursów

Excelsior v NEC Nijmegen

Początek: 2026-04-04 19:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Excelsior (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 25.91%3.86kurs godziwy
EV +2.35%
Przewaga +0.596%
Kelly +0.798%
Wzrost +0.019%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.00%25.83%25.89%27.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.643.653.9530.30%27.44%27.40%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

NEC Nijmegen (Goście)

Prognoza 50.03%2.00kurs godziwy
EV -2.45%
Przewaga -1.26%
Kelly -2.58%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
48.50%50.03%50.03%52.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.731.851.851.9557.80%53.98%54.05%51.28%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.06%4.16kurs godziwy
EV -1.34%
Przewaga -0.328%
Kelly -0.433%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.41%24.14%24.08%25.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.843.904.1030.30%26.01%25.64%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.67%EV +2.35%E +0.596%K +0.798%G +0.019%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.56%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV -1.34%E -0.328%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.365%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:30
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.365%G +0.004%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.10%EV -5.45%E -2.88%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.14%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.06%E +0.271%K +0.365%G +0.004%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 18:34
1xBet3.89I 25.71%NM 24.94%EV +0.799%E +0.205%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.80%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 18:54
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -0.237%E -0.062%K -0.083%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.31%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 18:30
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -1.34%E -0.328%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:34
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.26%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.33%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV -1.34%E -0.328%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 18:34
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.15%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 18:30
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:30
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -1.53%E -0.403%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Pinnacle3.79I 26.39%NM 25.51%EV -1.79%E -0.473%K -0.642%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.87%EV -2.55%E -0.629%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:55
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:30
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:30
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.83%E -0.754%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:30
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:34
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:35
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 25.73%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 18:48
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 18:30
Marathon Bet3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -4.64%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.60%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 18:53
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.95%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:34
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:34
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:34
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:30
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -5.42%E -1.48%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 18:30
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.95%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 12:34
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -3.75%E -0.937%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -2.45%E -1.26%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:30
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.77%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:44
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:55
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 18:54
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -6.72%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.97%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 18:40
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -4.45%E -2.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 14:00
BetUS3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 12:15
BetAnything3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.26%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 12:30
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.95%E -2.61%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:34
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.52%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.16%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 12:34
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.37%EV -5.95%E -3.17%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 12:34
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.50%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -7.36%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 18:34
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -13.37%E -3.72%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.49%EV -9.31%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.54%EV -13.46%E -7.78%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -20.59%E -6.24%K -8.95%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 18:45
Betclic (FR)3.43I 29.15%NM 26.00%EV -11.12%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.10%EV -10.96%E -6.15%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.91%EV -10.25%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 18:35
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -11.90%E -3.50%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.15%EV -12.46%E -7.12%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.17%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 18:54
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.18%EV -7.95%E -4.32%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-04 13:59
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.81%EV -11.96%E -6.79%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.02%EV -12.17%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:34
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.25%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 13:59
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -14.49%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.56%E -2.25%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 12:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-04 18:55
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-04-04 18:55
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-04-04 18:20