StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior v FC Utrecht

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 10:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Excelsior 1–2 FC Utrecht

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Excelsior (Hemma)

Prognos 42.66%2.34rättvist odds
EV -2.72%
Fördel -1.20%
Kelly -2.13%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.28

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.33%42.65%42.68%45.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.182.202.2848.78%45.88%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Utrecht (Borta)

Prognos 31.88%3.14rättvist odds
EV -1.17%
Fördel -0.377%
Kelly -0.557%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.89%31.90%31.89%32.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.932.943.1037.04%34.16%34.07%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.45%3.93rättvist odds
EV +1.82%
Fördel +0.454%
Kelly +0.606%
Tillväxt +0.011%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.94%25.44%25.43%26.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.46%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Excelsior (Hemma): 42.66%; FC Utrecht (Borta): 31.88%; Oavgjort: 25.45%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.93. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.17%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.89%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV +1.82%E +0.454%K +0.606%G +0.011%4.4%2026-09-13 10:10
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:09
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 10:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -2.00%E -0.520%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 10:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -2.72%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.90%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 10:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:00
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.59%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 10:11
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 10:06
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.62%EV -6.56%E -3.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.74%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.35%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 10:06
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:06
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:56
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:06
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 09:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -11.68%E -5.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -11.37%E -4.09%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 09:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 09:56
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 10:11
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.61%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:06
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:06
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.76%EV -10.10%E -3.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.92%E -5.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 10:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 10:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-09-13 10:11
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-13 10:06
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11