StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Excelsior v FC Utrecht

Aanvang: 2026-09-13 10:15 UTC

Eindstand: Excelsior 1–2 FC Utrecht

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

56 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Excelsior (Thuis)

Prognose 42.66%2.34margevrije odds
EV -2.72%
Voordeel -1.20%
Kelly -2.13%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.28

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
41.33%42.65%42.68%45.17%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.052.182.202.2848.78%45.88%45.45%43.86%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

FC Utrecht (Uit)

Prognose 31.88%3.14margevrije odds
EV -1.17%
Voordeel -0.377%
Kelly -0.557%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.10

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
30.89%31.90%31.89%32.81%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
2.702.932.943.1037.04%34.16%34.07%32.26%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 25.45%3.93margevrije odds
EV +1.82%
Voordeel +0.454%
Kelly +0.606%
Groei +0.011%

bij maximale odds 4.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.94%25.44%25.43%26.93%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.46%27.78%25.00%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: Excelsior (Thuis): 42.66%; FC Utrecht (Uit): 31.88%; Gelijkspel: 25.45%. Voor Gelijkspel kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 3.93. 1 wedaanbieder bood slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 4.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +1.82%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (56 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspel ▼MargeBijgewerkt
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.17%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.89%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV +1.82%E +0.454%K +0.606%G +0.011%4.4%2026-09-13 10:10
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:09
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 10:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -2.00%E -0.520%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 10:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -2.72%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.90%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 10:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:00
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.59%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 10:11
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 10:06
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.62%EV -6.56%E -3.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.74%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.35%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 10:06
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:06
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:56
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:06
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 09:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -11.68%E -5.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -11.37%E -4.09%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 09:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 09:56
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 10:11
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.61%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:06
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:06
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.76%EV -10.10%E -3.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.92%E -5.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 10:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 10:00
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (6)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-09-13 10:11
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-13 10:06
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11