Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Excelsior v FC Utrecht

Inizio: 2026-09-13 10:15 UTC

Finale: Excelsior 1–2 FC Utrecht

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Excelsior (Casa)

Previsione 42.66%2.34quota equa
EV -2.72%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.33%42.65%42.68%45.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.182.202.2848.78%45.88%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Utrecht (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.88%3.14quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.377%
Kelly -0.557%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.89%31.90%31.89%32.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.932.943.1037.04%34.16%34.07%32.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.45%3.93quota equa
EV +1.82%
Vantaggio +0.454%
Kelly +0.606%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.94%25.44%25.43%26.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.46%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Excelsior (Casa): 42.66%; FC Utrecht (Trasferta): 31.88%; Pareggio: 25.45%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.93. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.82%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.17%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.89%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV +1.82%E +0.454%K +0.606%G +0.011%4.4%2026-09-13 10:10
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:09
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 10:09
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -0.728%E -0.187%K -0.251%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 10:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -2.00%E -0.520%K -0.702%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 10:06
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -1.17%E -0.377%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.02%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.27%E -0.861%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.39%EV -2.72%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.90%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.71%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-13 10:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:00
BetAnything🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.88%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.73%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 10:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.59%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.55%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 10:11
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 10:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 09:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 09:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.82%E -1.57%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 09:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.09%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 10:06
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.62%EV -6.56%E -3.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.74%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -7.35%E -2.02%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 10:06
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.00%E -1.78%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:00
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.65%EV -5.28%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -2.76%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Bovada🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.90%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.03%EV -6.59%E -2.25%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:09
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:06
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.65%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 10:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:56
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:06
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 10:06
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 09:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -11.68%E -5.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.10%EV -11.37%E -4.09%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 09:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -8.36%E -2.32%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 09:56
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 10:11
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.61%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.34%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 10:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.71%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.03%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.64%E -2.71%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 09:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 10:00
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:06
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -8.70%E -4.06%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 10:06
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.76%EV -10.10%E -3.58%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.92%E -5.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.23%EV -10.91%E -3.12%K -4.36%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.40%E -4.95%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.14%E -3.21%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -12.18%E -3.53%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 10:05
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -13.46%E -3.96%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 10:00
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -16.00%E -4.85%K -6.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 10:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-09-13 10:11
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%0.9%2026-09-13 10:06
Smarkets◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 10:11