StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

AZ Alkmaar v Willem II

Aanvang: 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

Eindstand: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II

Slotodds — de berekende kansen en verwachtingswaarde uit de laatste vóór aanvang geregistreerde odds, volgens het geselecteerde model. De wedstrijd is begonnen; dit zijn dus geen actuele cijfers. Beoordeel de betrouwbaarheid van de waarschijnlijkheidsprognoses van ieder model aan de hand van alle uitslagen van afgehandelde wedstrijden →

Wedstrijduitslag

56 wedaanbieders (21 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

AZ Alkmaar (Thuis)

Prognose 82.61%1.21margevrije odds
EV -3.35%
Voordeel -2.86%
Kelly -19.69%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.17

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
79.78%82.52%82.56%84.61%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.091.131.131.1791.74%88.47%88.50%85.47%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Willem II (Uit)

Prognose 6.24%16.03margevrije odds
EV +12.26%
Voordeel +0.681%
Kelly +0.721%
Groei +0.088%

bij maximale odds 18.00

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
5.20%6.36%6.25%8.31%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
10.7514.9315.0018.009.30%6.70%6.67%5.56%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 11.15%8.97margevrije odds
EV +8.19%
Voordeel +0.845%
Kelly +0.942%
Groei +0.077%

bij maximale odds 9.70

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
9.77%11.11%11.19%12.84%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
7.008.308.009.7014.29%12.05%12.50%10.31%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bij de laatste odds voor de aftrap schatte Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) voor Wedstrijduitslag: AZ Alkmaar (Thuis): 82.61%; Willem II (Uit): 6.24%; Gelijkspel: 11.15%. Voor Willem II (Uit) kwam deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 16.03. 19 wedaanbieders boden slotodds boven dat niveau; de beste waren 18.00, overeenkomend met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +12.26%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (56 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:59
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 01:40
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.97%EV +7.64%E +0.791%K +0.883%G +0.067%4.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +5.96%E +0.628%K +0.701%G +0.042%4.9%2026-09-08 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:33
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.68%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -19.13%E -2.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 03:45
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 03:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.33%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.65I 6.01%NM 5.67%EV +3.84%E +0.231%K +0.245%G +0.009%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.99%EV +5.40%E +0.572%K +0.640%G +0.035%5.9%2026-09-08 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.68%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -7.98%E -0.967%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.96%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV +3.17%E +0.343%K +0.385%G +0.012%6.3%2026-09-06 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 07:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.16%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.01%EV -3.33%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -4.08%E -0.474%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:14
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.53%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.20%EV -6.31%E -0.751%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:50
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 01:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -9.13%E -8.30%K -91.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.61%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.967%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 07:45
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 06:55
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 07:44
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 08:50
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:09
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 01:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -9.96%E -9.13%K -110.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.96%E -9.13%K -110.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -25.16%E -2.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -21.92%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 07:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -28.28%E -2.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.07%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -31.40%E -2.85%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.78%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.31%EV -32.96%E -3.07%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 07:48
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 86.03%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.98%0.2%2026-09-09 13:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.03%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27%1.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.03%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27%1.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.65%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.45%1.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.10%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.16%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40