Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.17
avec la cote maximale 18.00
avec la cote maximale 9.70
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AZ Alkmaar (Local) : 82.61% ; Willem II (Visiteur) : 6.24% ; Match nul : 11.15%. Pour Willem II (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 16.03. 19 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 18.00, soit une espérance positive de +12.26%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 06:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-08 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 9.65I 10.36%NM 9.97%EV +7.64%E +0.791%K +0.883%G +0.067% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +5.96%E +0.628%K +0.701%G +0.042% | 4.9% | 2026-09-08 12:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.68%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -19.13%E -2.64%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 03:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 03:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 03:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077% | 5.5% | 2026-09-09 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.33%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 16.65I 6.01%NM 5.67%EV +3.84%E +0.231%K +0.245%G +0.009% | 9.45I 10.58%NM 9.99%EV +5.40%E +0.572%K +0.640%G +0.035% | 5.9% | 2026-09-08 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.68%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -7.98%E -0.967%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.96%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV +3.17%E +0.343%K +0.385%G +0.012% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.16%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.01%EV -3.33%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -4.08%E -0.474%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.53%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.20%EV -6.31%E -0.751%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 18:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -9.13%E -8.30%K -91.30%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.61%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.967%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 06:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 13:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 10:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-07 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -9.96%E -9.13%K -110.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.96%E -9.13%K -110.62%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -25.16%E -2.10%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -21.92%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-09 07:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -28.28%E -2.46%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.07%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -31.40%E -2.85%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-09 07:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.78%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.31%EV -32.96%E -3.07%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 07:48 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.03% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.98% | 0.2% | 2026-09-09 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.03% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.03% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27% | 1.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.65% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.45% | 1.8% | 2026-09-09 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.10% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.16% | 2.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |