StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AZ Alkmaar v Willem II

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-11 18:00 UTC

Endstand: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

AZ Alkmaar (Heim)

Prognose 82.61%1.21faire Quote
EV -3.35%
Vorteil -2.86%
Kelly -19.69%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.78%82.52%82.56%84.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.091.131.131.1791.74%88.47%88.50%85.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Willem II (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.24%16.03faire Quote
EV +12.26%
Vorteil +0.681%
Kelly +0.721%
Wachstum +0.088%

bei einer Höchstquote von 18.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.20%6.36%6.25%8.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
10.7514.9315.0018.009.30%6.70%6.67%5.56%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 11.15%8.97faire Quote
EV +8.19%
Vorteil +0.845%
Kelly +0.942%
Wachstum +0.077%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.77%11.11%11.19%12.84%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.308.009.7014.29%12.05%12.50%10.31%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: AZ Alkmaar (Heim): 82.61%; Willem II (Auswärts): 6.24%; Unentschieden: 11.15%. Für Willem II (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 16.03. 19 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 18.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +12.26%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:59
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 06:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.20%EV +12.26%E +0.681%K +0.721%G +0.088%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-08 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -4.17%E -3.60%K -26.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 01:40
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.37%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.65I 10.36%NM 9.97%EV +7.64%E +0.791%K +0.883%G +0.067%4.0%2026-09-09 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV +5.96%E +0.628%K +0.701%G +0.042%4.9%2026-09-08 12:15
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:33
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 12:30
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 22:00
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 21:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.13%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.68%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +6.02%E +0.354%K +0.376%G +0.023%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -19.13%E -2.64%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 03:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 03:45
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 03:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.61%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.85I 5.93%NM 5.62%EV +5.09%E +0.302%K +0.321%G +0.016%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV +8.19%E +0.845%K +0.942%G +0.077%5.5%2026-09-09 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.33%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.65I 6.01%NM 5.67%EV +3.84%E +0.231%K +0.245%G +0.009%9.45I 10.58%NM 9.99%EV +5.40%E +0.572%K +0.640%G +0.035%5.9%2026-09-08 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-08 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.68%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.89%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.43%EV -7.98%E -0.967%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 13:30
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.96%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.88%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.17%EV +3.17%E +0.343%K +0.385%G +0.012%6.3%2026-09-06 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -0.213%E -0.013%K -0.014%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 07:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.16%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.01%EV -3.33%E -0.215%K -0.230%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.83%EV -4.08%E -0.474%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 17:14
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.53%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.20%EV -6.31%E -0.751%K -0.852%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 07:50
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 01:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 01:40
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 13:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:20
betfred_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 13:30
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.14%EV -9.13%E -8.30%K -91.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -6.45%E -0.430%K -0.461%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.61%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.82%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV -7.98%E -0.967%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 07:45
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.70%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 01:40
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 06:55
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -12.69%E -0.906%K -0.976%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-09 13:30
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.46%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.33%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV -5.19%E -0.611%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-09 07:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -3.35%E -2.86%K -19.69%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 07:44
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.35%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.22%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.386%E +0.043%K +0.048%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 08:50
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.00%E -4.35%K -33.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 10:09
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -5.83%E -5.11%K -41.61%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 01:40
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.80%EV -6.65%E -5.89%K -51.17%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 01:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.08%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.92%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 01:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -9.96%E -9.13%K -110.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 12:35
Sky Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -9.96%E -9.13%K -110.62%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -18.92%E -1.46%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 79.93%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -25.16%E -2.10%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.67%EV -21.92%E -3.13%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-09 07:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.95%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.81%EV -28.28%E -2.46%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.23%EV -10.77%E -1.35%K -1.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.07%EV -8.30%E -7.48%K -75.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.08%EV -31.40%E -2.85%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-09 07:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.78%EV -7.48%E -6.68%K -62.31%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.31%EV -32.96%E -3.07%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -16.35%E -2.18%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 07:48
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 86.03%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.98%0.2%2026-09-09 13:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.03%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27%1.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.03%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.70%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.27%1.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Smarkets◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.65%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.91%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.45%1.8%2026-09-09 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 84.10%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.16%2.5%2026-09-09 17:40