A Escola das Odds

AZ Alkmaar v Heracles Almelo

Início: 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Previsão 69.35%1.44odd justa
EV -2.90%
Vantagem -2.07%
Kelly -7.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.03%69.35%69.40%73.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.331.331.4083.33%75.22%75.19%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Heracles Almelo (Visitante)

Previsão 12.95%7.72odd justa
EV +16.59%
Vantagem +1.84%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescimento +0.344%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.79%12.92%12.93%15.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.707.487.509.0017.54%13.37%13.33%11.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 17.69%5.65odd justa
EV +6.15%
Vantagem +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescimento +0.076%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.19%17.73%17.67%20.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.335.285.256.0023.09%18.93%19.05%16.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%EV +16.59%E +1.84%K +2.07%G +0.344%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +6.15%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.076%3.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +12.70%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.210%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:24
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +12.70%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.210%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:25
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.61%E +0.450%K +0.543%G +0.014%3.6%2026-03-15 12:30
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.61%E +0.450%K +0.543%G +0.014%3.6%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%4.9%2026-03-15 12:30
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:35
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -11.92%E -9.39%K -44.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -12.61%E -10.01%K -48.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -12.61%E -10.01%K -48.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.80%EV +2.34%E +0.296%K +0.339%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +0.398%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 13:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV +0.398%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:25
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.72%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.250%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.78%EV -4.29%E -0.793%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 13:15
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.273%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.14%EV -0.223%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 13:25
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 13:10
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 13:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 13:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 13:20
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.35%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.08%E -0.839%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:23
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.08%E -0.839%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -6.73%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.838%E +0.147%K +0.178%G +0.001%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:20
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:25
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:05
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:24
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.30%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.20%EV -23.40%E -5.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 13:20
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.13%EV -9.97%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.72%EV -8.89%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV -11.91%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -4.47%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -12.56%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -15.97%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:55
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -15.97%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 13:20
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.18%EV -16.77%E -13.98%K -83.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.77%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.05%EV -18.62%E -4.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:25
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.60%EV -11.92%E -9.39%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.61%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 13:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.84%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.12%EV -19.68%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.04%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -22.27%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -26.16%E -4.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.0%2026-03-15 13:25
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.17%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.91%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.92%1.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.65%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%3.1%2026-03-15 13:25