مدرسة الاحتمالات

AZ Alkmaar v Heracles Almelo

البداية: 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.35%1.44السعر العادل
EV -2.90%
الأفضلية -2.07%
Kelly -7.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.03%69.35%69.40%73.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.331.331.4083.33%75.22%75.19%71.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Heracles Almelo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 12.95%7.72السعر العادل
EV +16.59%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +2.07%
النمو +0.344%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.79%12.92%12.93%15.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.707.487.509.0017.54%13.37%13.33%11.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.69%5.65السعر العادل
EV +6.15%
الأفضلية +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
النمو +0.076%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.19%17.73%17.67%20.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.335.285.256.0023.09%18.93%19.05%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%EV +16.59%E +1.84%K +2.07%G +0.344%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +6.15%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.076%3.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +12.70%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.210%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:24
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +12.70%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.210%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:25
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.61%E +0.450%K +0.543%G +0.014%3.6%2026-03-15 12:30
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.61%E +0.450%K +0.543%G +0.014%3.6%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%4.9%2026-03-15 12:30
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:35
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -11.92%E -9.39%K -44.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -12.61%E -10.01%K -48.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -12.61%E -10.01%K -48.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.80%EV +2.34%E +0.296%K +0.339%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +0.398%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 13:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV +0.398%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:25
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.72%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.250%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.78%EV -4.29%E -0.793%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 13:15
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.273%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.14%EV -0.223%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 13:25
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 13:10
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 13:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 13:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 13:20
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.35%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.08%E -0.839%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:23
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.08%E -0.839%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -6.73%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.838%E +0.147%K +0.178%G +0.001%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:20
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:25
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:05
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:24
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.30%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.20%EV -23.40%E -5.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 13:20
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.13%EV -9.97%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.72%EV -8.89%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV -11.91%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -4.47%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -12.56%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -15.97%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:55
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -15.97%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 13:20
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.18%EV -16.77%E -13.98%K -83.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.77%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.05%EV -18.62%E -4.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:25
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.60%EV -11.92%E -9.39%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.61%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 13:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.84%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.12%EV -19.68%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.04%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -22.27%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -26.16%E -4.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.0%2026-03-15 13:25
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.17%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.91%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.92%1.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.65%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%3.1%2026-03-15 13:25