Die Schule der Quoten

AZ Alkmaar v Heracles Almelo

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-15 13:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Heim)

Prognose 69.35%1.44faire Quote
EV -2.90%
Vorteil -2.07%
Kelly -7.26%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.03%69.35%69.40%73.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.331.331.4083.33%75.22%75.19%71.43%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Heracles Almelo (Auswärts)

Prognose 12.95%7.72faire Quote
EV +16.59%
Vorteil +1.84%
Kelly +2.07%
Wachstum +0.344%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
10.79%12.92%12.93%15.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.707.487.509.0017.54%13.37%13.33%11.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 17.69%5.65faire Quote
EV +6.15%
Vorteil +1.02%
Kelly +1.23%
Wachstum +0.076%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.19%17.73%17.67%20.20%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.335.285.256.0023.09%18.93%19.05%16.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%EV +16.59%E +1.84%K +2.07%G +0.344%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%EV +6.15%E +1.02%K +1.23%G +0.076%3.0%2026-03-15 12:40
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +12.70%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.210%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:24
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.74%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.90%EV +12.70%E +1.46%K +1.65%G +0.210%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.36%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:25
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.61%E +0.450%K +0.543%G +0.014%3.6%2026-03-15 12:30
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.01%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.35%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.64%EV +2.61%E +0.450%K +0.543%G +0.014%3.6%2026-03-15 12:35
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.21%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%4.9%2026-03-15 12:30
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +1.72%E +0.300%K +0.363%G +0.006%6.1%2026-03-15 12:35
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:35
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 72.35%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +10.11%E +1.19%K +1.35%G +0.136%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 12:30
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 13:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.17%EV -11.92%E -9.39%K -44.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -0.931%E -0.166%K -0.202%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 12:35
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -12.61%E -10.01%K -48.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 72.12%EV -12.61%E -10.01%K -48.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV +3.64%E +0.455%K +0.519%G +0.019%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 12:35
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.80%EV +2.34%E +0.296%K +0.339%G +0.008%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV +0.398%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 13:20
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV +0.398%E +0.051%K +0.059%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 13:25
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.72%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.50%EV -0.250%E -0.032%K -0.037%G +0.000%5.41I 18.48%NM 17.78%EV -4.29%E -0.793%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 13:15
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.07%EV -4.29%E -3.11%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.56I 13.23%NM 12.79%EV -2.06%E -0.273%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.14%EV -0.223%E -0.040%K -0.048%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 13:25
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 13:10
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.54%EV -3.60%E -2.59%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.57%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 13:10
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -2.70%E -0.491%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 13:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 13:20
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.13%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.35%E -1.00%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Everygame1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 12:55
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:00
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:00
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:00
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.33%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.84%E -0.379%K -0.437%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.38%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.08%E -0.839%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:23
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 69.13%EV -5.68%E -4.17%K -15.77%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -6.08%E -0.839%K -0.973%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.68%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -6.73%E -0.934%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV +0.838%E +0.147%K +0.178%G +0.001%7.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:20
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:00
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:25
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 13:05
William Hill1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:24
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -6.37%E -4.72%K -18.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 13:24
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.30%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -9.32%E -1.33%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.20%EV -23.40%E -5.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 13:20
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 69.14%EV -8.45%E -6.40%K -26.41%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.13%EV -9.97%E -1.43%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.72%EV -8.89%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 13:20
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.72%EV -4.98%E -3.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.85%EV -11.91%E -1.75%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -4.47%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -2.90%E -2.07%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -12.56%E -1.86%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -7.12%E -1.36%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 13:15
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -7.76%E -5.83%K -23.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -15.97%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-15 12:55
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -9.84%E -7.57%K -32.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -15.97%E -3.36%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-15 13:20
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.18%EV -16.77%E -13.98%K -83.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 12.77%EV -15.80%E -2.43%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.05%EV -18.62%E -4.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%20.5%2026-03-15 13:20
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.18%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.96%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 13:25
NetBet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 68.60%EV -11.92%E -9.39%K -44.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.61%EV -17.09%E -2.67%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.78%EV -13.31%E -2.72%K -3.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 13:24
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 67.84%EV -10.53%E -8.16%K -36.32%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.12%EV -19.68%E -3.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.04%EV -14.20%E -2.93%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 13:25
Winamax (DE)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -7.06%E -5.27%K -20.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -22.27%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -6.24%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 13:25
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -9.15%E -6.98%K -29.50%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -26.16%E -4.59%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -11.55%E -2.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.86%0.5%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.91%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.28%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.41%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%0.8%2026-03-15 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.0%2026-03-15 13:25
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.17%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.91%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.92%1.9%2026-03-15 13:25
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 71.86%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.65%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%3.1%2026-03-15 13:25