Школа коэффициентов

AZ Alkmaar v Heerenveen

Начало: 2026-04-12 14:45 UTC

Итог: AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Хозяева)

Прогноз 55.23%1.81справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.13%
Преимущество -0.632%
Kelly -1.43%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.79

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.77%55.09%55.26%56.06%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.701.701.7963.29%58.86%58.82%55.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Heerenveen (Гости)

Прогноз 22.61%4.42справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.841%
Преимущество +0.189%
Kelly +0.243%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.46

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.49%22.70%22.63%24.92%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.094.104.4627.78%24.42%24.39%22.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 22.16%4.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.51%
Преимущество -0.572%
Kelly -0.740%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.36%22.21%22.11%24.43%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.134.104.4028.57%24.22%24.39%22.73%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.49%EV +0.841%E +0.189%K +0.243%G +0.002%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.45%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.02%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -2.10%E -0.485%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -4.07%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 13:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.93%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -2.10%E -0.485%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 14:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:20
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:20
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -2.51%E -0.572%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:20
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:00
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:20
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:19
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.97%E -6.12%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:18
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:01
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -12.73%E -8.06%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:01
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.77%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -22.46%E -6.42%K -8.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -18.60%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%0.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-04-12 14:20