Szkoła Kursów

AZ Alkmaar v Heerenveen

Początek: 2026-04-12 14:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.23%1.81kurs godziwy
EV -1.13%
Przewaga -0.632%
Kelly -1.43%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.77%55.09%55.26%56.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.581.701.701.7963.29%58.86%58.82%55.87%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Heerenveen (Goście)

Prognoza 22.61%4.42kurs godziwy
EV +0.841%
Przewaga +0.189%
Kelly +0.243%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.46

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.49%22.70%22.63%24.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.094.104.4627.78%24.42%24.39%22.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.16%4.51kurs godziwy
EV -2.51%
Przewaga -0.572%
Kelly -0.740%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.36%22.21%22.11%24.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.504.134.104.4028.57%24.22%24.39%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.49%EV +0.841%E +0.189%K +0.243%G +0.002%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.45%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.02%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -2.10%E -0.485%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -4.07%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 13:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.93%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -2.10%E -0.485%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 14:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:20
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:20
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -2.51%E -0.572%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:20
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:00
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:20
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:19
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.97%E -6.12%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:18
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:01
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -12.73%E -8.06%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:01
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.77%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -22.46%E -6.42%K -8.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -18.60%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%0.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-04-12 14:20