La scuola delle quote

AZ Alkmaar v Heerenveen

Inizio: 2026-04-12 14:45 UTC

Finale: AZ Alkmaar 3–0 Heerenveen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (Casa)

Previsione 55.23%1.81quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.632%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.77%55.09%55.26%56.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.701.701.7963.29%58.86%58.82%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Heerenveen (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.61%4.42quota equa
EV +0.841%
Vantaggio +0.189%
Kelly +0.243%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.49%22.70%22.63%24.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.094.104.4627.78%24.42%24.39%22.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.16%4.51quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -0.572%
Kelly -0.740%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.36%22.21%22.11%24.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.134.104.4028.57%24.22%24.39%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.06%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.49%EV +0.841%E +0.189%K +0.243%G +0.002%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.45%EV -5.40%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.02%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -2.10%E -0.485%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -4.07%E -0.939%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 13:59
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.93%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -2.10%E -0.485%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -8.05%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-12 14:20
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:20
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -2.78%E -0.646%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:20
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.13%EV -1.13%E -0.632%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.80%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 14:20
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.41%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.68%EV -3.91%E -0.919%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.91%EV -2.51%E -0.572%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 14:00
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.63%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.24%EV -3.34%E -1.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 14:20
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 14:00
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:19
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:01
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:20
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.73%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:00
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:20
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.89%E -2.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:00
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:20
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 54.96%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.11%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 14:00
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 14:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:00
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.55%E -3.25%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:19
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.00%E -2.91%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:30
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 14:00
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -9.97%E -6.12%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -7.30%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:19
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.10%E -3.59%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 14:19
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:18
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -7.21%E -4.29%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -12.49%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -8.86%E -5.37%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -9.56%E -2.39%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-12 14:20
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:01
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 53.77%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.16%E -2.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.71%EV -12.73%E -8.06%K -21.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -10.69%E -2.71%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 14:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -8.31%E -5.01%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 14:01
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.82%E -3.03%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.38%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.77%EV -10.52%E -6.49%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -15.21%E -4.06%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.43%EV -22.46%E -6.42%K -8.98%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -7.76%E -4.65%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -18.60%E -5.17%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -6.95%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%0.9%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%1.8%2026-04-12 14:20
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%2.1%2026-04-12 14:20