默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 16:45 UTC

最终结果: AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

AZ Alkmaar (主队)

预测 70.49%1.42公平赔率
EV -3.44%
优势 -2.51%
Kelly -9.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.37

博彩公司预测分布
67.58%70.36%70.57%73.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.321.321.3778.13%75.63%75.76%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

Go Ahead Eagles (客队)

预测 12.61%7.93公平赔率
EV +13.51%
优势 +1.50%
Kelly +1.69%
增长率 +0.228%

假设最高赔率为 9.00

博彩公司预测分布
10.61%12.55%12.65%14.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.257.487.509.0016.00%13.37%13.33%11.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 16.90%5.92公平赔率
EV +1.41%
优势 +0.235%
Kelly +0.283%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.82%17.09%16.78%19.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.36%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:AZ Alkmaar (主队):70.49%;Go Ahead Eagles (客队):12.61%;平局:16.90%。 对于“Go Ahead Eagles (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.93。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.00,对应+13.51%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +13.51%E +1.50%K +1.69%G +0.228%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%4.7%2026-08-29 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.57%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 11.17%EV +9.10%E +1.05%K +1.19%G +0.108%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 16:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.96%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV +4.06%E +0.492%K +0.559%G +0.023%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.2%2026-08-29 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-08-29 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:06
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.77%EV -4.14%E -3.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.99I 12.52%NM 12.05%EV +0.776%E +0.097%K +0.111%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -2.25%E -0.290%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:10
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -8.56%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:08
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:05
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:31
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.30%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.04%EV -12.97%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.58%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -17.18%E -3.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 16:23
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.40%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -21.17%E -3.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.41%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47%2.2%2026-08-29 16:35