Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles

Начало: 2026-08-29 16:45 UTC

Итог: AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AZ Alkmaar (Хозяева)

Прогноз 70.49%1.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.44%
Преимущество -2.51%
Kelly -9.28%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.37

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.58%70.36%70.57%73.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.321.321.3778.13%75.63%75.76%72.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Go Ahead Eagles (Гости)

Прогноз 12.61%7.93справедливый коэффициент
EV +13.51%
Преимущество +1.50%
Kelly +1.69%
Рост +0.228%

при максимальном коэффициенте 9.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
10.61%12.55%12.65%14.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.257.487.509.0016.00%13.37%13.33%11.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 16.90%5.92справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.41%
Преимущество +0.235%
Kelly +0.283%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.82%17.09%16.78%19.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.36%18.18%16.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: AZ Alkmaar (Хозяева): 70.49%; Go Ahead Eagles (Гости): 12.61%; Ничья: 16.90%. Для исхода «Go Ahead Eagles (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.93. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +13.51%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +13.51%E +1.50%K +1.69%G +0.228%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%4.7%2026-08-29 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.57%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 11.17%EV +9.10%E +1.05%K +1.19%G +0.108%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 16:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.96%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV +4.06%E +0.492%K +0.559%G +0.023%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.2%2026-08-29 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-08-29 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:06
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.77%EV -4.14%E -3.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.99I 12.52%NM 12.05%EV +0.776%E +0.097%K +0.111%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -2.25%E -0.290%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:10
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -8.56%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:08
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:05
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:31
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.30%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.04%EV -12.97%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.58%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -17.18%E -3.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 16:23
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.40%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -21.17%E -3.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.41%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47%2.2%2026-08-29 16:35