Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.00
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: AZ Alkmaar (Local): 70.49%; Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante): 12.61%; Empate: 16.90%. Para Go Ahead Eagles (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.93. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.51%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +13.51%E +1.50%K +1.69%G +0.228% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.57%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 11.17%EV +9.10%E +1.05%K +1.19%G +0.108% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-29 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.96%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV +4.06%E +0.492%K +0.559%G +0.023% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 3.2% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 16:06 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 16:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.77%EV -4.14%E -3.04%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 7.99I 12.52%NM 12.05%EV +0.776%E +0.097%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -2.25%E -0.290%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -8.56%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 16:08 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 16:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-29 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.30%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.04%EV -12.97%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-29 16:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.58%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -17.18%E -3.51%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 16:23 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.40%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -21.17%E -3.39%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 16:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 16:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.61% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-29 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67% | 2.0% | 2026-08-29 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.41% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47% | 2.2% | 2026-08-29 16:35 |