Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AZ Alkmaar v Go Ahead Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 16:45 UTC

Score final : AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

AZ Alkmaar (Local)

Prévision 70.49%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -2.51%
Kelly -9.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.58%70.36%70.57%73.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.321.321.3778.13%75.63%75.76%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.61%7.93cote équitable
EV +13.51%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.228%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.61%12.55%12.65%14.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.257.487.509.0016.00%13.37%13.33%11.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.90%5.92cote équitable
EV +1.41%
Avantage +0.235%
Kelly +0.283%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.82%17.09%16.78%19.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.36%18.18%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : AZ Alkmaar (Local) : 70.49% ; Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur) : 12.61% ; Match nul : 16.90%. Pour Go Ahead Eagles (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.93. 16 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.00, soit une espérance positive de +13.51%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +13.51%E +1.50%K +1.69%G +0.228%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%4.7%2026-08-29 16:40
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.61%EV +12.25%E +1.38%K +1.55%G +0.190%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -18.02%E -3.72%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.57%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 11.17%EV +9.10%E +1.05%K +1.19%G +0.108%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.25%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-29 16:35
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.01%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +7.21%E +0.848%K +0.961%G +0.069%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.82%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%5.4%2026-08-29 16:34
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.96%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.51%EV +4.06%E +0.492%K +0.559%G +0.023%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.11%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.14%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.2%2026-08-29 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-08-29 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.90%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.04%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV +1.41%E +0.235%K +0.283%G +0.004%3.8%2026-08-29 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.71%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.91%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.40%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:06
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV +0.902%E +0.113%K +0.129%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.77%EV -4.14%E -3.04%K -11.50%G +0.000%7.99I 12.52%NM 12.05%EV +0.776%E +0.097%K +0.111%G +0.001%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.94%EV -2.25%E -0.290%K -0.333%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.17%EV -3.44%E -2.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.82%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV -4.50%E -0.797%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-29 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.84%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.66%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.35%E -0.955%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 16:40
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 16:10
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-29 16:30
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -5.40%E -0.721%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.97%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -1.97%E -0.339%K -0.410%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.61%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.60%EV -6.67%E -0.901%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.79%EV -6.19%E -1.12%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.37%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.10%EV -8.56%E -1.18%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 16:08
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.05%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.81%E -0.489%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 16:05
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -4.85%E -3.59%K -13.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 16:31
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.00%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -6.96%E -5.27%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-29 16:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -6.25%E -4.70%K -18.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -10.42%E -1.97%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -11.71%E -1.67%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -18.87%E -3.93%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.30%EV -9.78%E -7.64%K -34.93%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.04%EV -12.97%E -1.88%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -8.73%E -1.62%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.60%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -14.86%E -2.20%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.10%EV -11.26%E -2.15%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.02%EV -8.37%E -6.44%K -27.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.97%EV -3.66%E -0.642%K -0.778%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.58%EV -5.55%E -4.14%K -16.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -17.18%E -3.51%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 16:23
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.33%EV -7.66%E -5.85%K -24.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -18.02%E -2.77%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -15.49%E -3.10%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.40%EV -9.07%E -7.03%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -21.17%E -3.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -7.04%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:35
Matchbook◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.83%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.78%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%0.9%2026-08-29 16:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.61%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-08-29 16:40
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.56%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.67%2.0%2026-08-29 16:05
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.41%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.12%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.47%2.2%2026-08-29 16:35