Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard

Начало: 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

AZ Alkmaar (Хозяева)

Прогноз 72.23%1.38справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.76%
Преимущество -1.30%
Kelly -4.90%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.36

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
69.17%72.14%72.20%76.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.201.281.281.3683.33%78.25%78.13%73.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Fortuna Sittard (Гости)

Прогноз 11.40%8.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +19.69%
Преимущество +1.88%
Kelly +2.07%
Рост +0.408%

при максимальном коэффициенте 10.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.24%11.34%11.50%13.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.758.678.5410.5014.81%11.53%11.72%9.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 16.37%6.11справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.48%
Преимущество +1.55%
Kelly +1.82%
Рост +0.191%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.37%16.52%16.29%19.23%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.505.735.756.7522.22%17.46%17.39%14.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: AZ Alkmaar (Хозяева): 72.23%; Fortuna Sittard (Гости): 11.40%; Ничья: 16.37%. Для исхода «Fortuna Sittard (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.77. 25 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 10.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +19.69%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.82%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +19.69%E +1.88%K +2.07%G +0.408%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.39%E +0.983%K +1.16%G +0.074%3.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.82%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +19.69%E +1.88%K +2.07%G +0.408%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.39%E +0.983%K +1.16%G +0.074%3.0%2026-04-04 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +19.69%E +1.88%K +2.07%G +0.408%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +10.48%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.191%3.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%5.6%2026-04-04 16:40
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%5.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Casumo🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -11.15%E -9.07%K -48.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%7.3%2026-04-04 16:40
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -11.15%E -9.07%K -48.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%7.3%2026-04-04 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -11.15%E -9.07%K -48.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%7.3%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -11.88%E -9.73%K -53.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%8.0%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -11.88%E -9.73%K -53.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%8.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -13.32%E -11.10%K -66.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -0.157%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -13.32%E -11.10%K -66.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -0.157%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -13.32%E -11.10%K -66.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -0.157%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.54%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV +4.87%E +0.529%K +0.594%G +0.029%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -11.61%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.54%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV +4.87%E +0.529%K +0.594%G +0.029%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -11.61%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:39
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.33%EV -1.76%E -1.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.18I 10.89%NM 10.57%EV +4.64%E +0.506%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.10%EV -12.27%E -2.29%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -5.07%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.99%E -7.13%K -34.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -0.259%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.829%E -0.095%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:39
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.52%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.54%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.17%EV -2.31%E -0.270%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.31%EV -3.92%E -0.668%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.414%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:19
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.414%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.81%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.722%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:30
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.96%E -0.722%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:35
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.96%E -0.722%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -5.07%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:19
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.55%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -8.34%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -6.70%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:39
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:18
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 16:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 71.00%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -26.35%E -5.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.36%EV -19.07%E -2.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 16:39
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.21%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.51%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -23.06%E -3.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -8.34%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.47%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -23.06%E -3.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 16:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-04-04 16:40
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.83%1.1%2026-04-04 16:40
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-04-04 16:40