مدرسة الاحتمالات

AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard

البداية: 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

AZ Alkmaar (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.23%1.38السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -4.90%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.17%72.14%72.20%76.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.281.281.3683.33%78.25%78.13%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fortuna Sittard (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.40%8.77السعر العادل
EV +19.69%
الأفضلية +1.88%
Kelly +2.07%
النمو +0.408%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.24%11.34%11.50%13.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.758.678.5410.5014.81%11.53%11.72%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 16.37%6.11السعر العادل
EV +10.48%
الأفضلية +1.55%
Kelly +1.82%
النمو +0.191%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.37%16.52%16.29%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.735.756.7522.22%17.46%17.39%14.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.82%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +19.69%E +1.88%K +2.07%G +0.408%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.39%E +0.983%K +1.16%G +0.074%3.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 75.82%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +19.69%E +1.88%K +2.07%G +0.408%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.39%E +0.983%K +1.16%G +0.074%3.0%2026-04-04 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.39%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +19.69%E +1.88%K +2.07%G +0.408%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.37%EV +10.48%E +1.55%K +1.82%G +0.191%3.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%5.6%2026-04-04 16:40
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.74%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.47%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%5.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 75.89%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV +4.75%E +0.743%K +0.880%G +0.042%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
TABtouch1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -11.15%E -9.07%K -48.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%7.3%2026-04-04 16:40
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -11.15%E -9.07%K -48.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%7.3%2026-04-04 16:39
Grosvenor1.23I 81.30%NM 75.77%EV -11.15%E -9.07%K -48.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%7.3%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -11.88%E -9.73%K -53.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%8.0%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.92%EV -11.88%E -9.73%K -53.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +13.99%E +1.40%K +1.55%G +0.217%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV +2.30%E +0.368%K +0.438%G +0.010%8.0%2026-04-04 16:39
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:20
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -13.32%E -11.10%K -66.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -0.157%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Virgin Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -13.32%E -11.10%K -66.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -0.157%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -13.32%E -11.10%K -66.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +8.29%E +0.873%K +0.975%G +0.081%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -0.157%E -0.026%K -0.031%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 16:39
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.54%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV +4.87%E +0.529%K +0.594%G +0.029%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -11.61%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 72.05%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.54%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.34%EV +4.87%E +0.529%K +0.594%G +0.029%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.61%EV -11.61%E -2.15%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:39
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.33%EV -1.76%E -1.30%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.18I 10.89%NM 10.57%EV +4.64%E +0.506%K +0.568%G +0.026%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.10%EV -12.27%E -2.29%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.53%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.10%EV -5.07%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:10
Bet Right1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.99%E -7.13%K -34.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:30
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +2.59%E +0.288%K +0.324%G +0.008%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 16:14
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.84%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.01%EV +0.311%E +0.035%K +0.040%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -1.79%E -0.299%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Betr (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.05%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.69%EV -0.259%E -0.030%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:20
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.32%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.72%EV -0.829%E -0.095%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:39
Pinnacle1.32I 75.76%NM 72.52%EV -4.65%E -3.52%K -14.54%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.17%EV -2.31%E -0.270%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.31%EV -3.92%E -0.668%K -0.805%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.414%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:19
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -3.11%E -0.366%K -0.414%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 16:39
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.81%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.58%EV -5.96%E -0.722%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.61%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 16:30
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.96%E -0.722%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:35
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 72.43%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.96%E -0.722%K -0.822%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 12:34
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:39
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.55%EV -3.93%E -2.95%K -11.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:30
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 71.86%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.37%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:40
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.12%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -5.07%E -0.874%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:19
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 71.55%EV -5.37%E -4.10%K -17.34%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -8.34%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:35
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.82%E -5.29%K -23.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.89%E -1.02%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 16:20
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV -6.70%E -1.18%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 16:39
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 16:30
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -8.81%E -1.10%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 16:40
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 16:35
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.90%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-04 16:18
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.00%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -16.53%E -3.24%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.23%EV -9.71%E -7.77%K -38.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.54%EV -14.51%E -1.93%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -26.35%E -5.85%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-04 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.77%EV -10.43%E -8.41%K -43.46%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.36%EV -19.07%E -2.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.87%EV -14.89%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-04 16:39
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -6.10%E -4.69%K -20.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.21%E -2.89%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -18.16%E -3.63%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.51%EV -7.54%E -5.89%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -23.06%E -3.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -8.34%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 16:39
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.47%EV -8.26%E -6.51%K -30.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -23.06%E -3.42%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.27%EV -9.98%E -1.81%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 16:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%0.7%2026-04-04 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.07%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%0.8%2026-04-04 16:40
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.29%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.88%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.83%1.1%2026-04-04 16:40
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.47%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.84%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%1.6%2026-04-04 16:40