Szkoła Kursów

Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam

Początek: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ajax (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 55.14%1.81kurs godziwy
EV -3.50%
Przewaga -2.00%
Kelly -4.67%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
53.85%55.19%55.17%56.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.521.681.681.7565.79%59.51%59.52%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sparta Rotterdam (Goście)

Prognoza 21.98%4.55kurs godziwy
EV +1.10%
Przewaga +0.238%
Kelly +0.304%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.25%21.90%22.01%23.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.274.304.6026.67%23.44%23.26%21.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 22.88%4.37kurs godziwy
EV +1.59%
Przewaga +0.359%
Kelly +0.464%
Wzrost +0.007%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.85%22.92%22.82%23.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.504.084.104.4428.57%24.51%24.39%22.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.73%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.42%EV -0.442%E -0.098%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV +1.59%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.25%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +0.680%E +0.154%K +0.200%G +0.001%2.8%2026-03-14 19:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.464%E -0.107%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.464%E -0.107%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.26%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.26%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.13%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 19:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.76%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.16%EV +0.217%E +0.048%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.08%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:45
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 05:24
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.19%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:45
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:35
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 19:45
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -9.57%E -5.83%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 19:35
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 19:54
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:50
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:40
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV +1.10%E +0.238%K +0.304%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 19:35
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:35
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 19:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.09%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 19:34
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -17.58%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 19:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.77%E -7.36%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.39%EV -13.43%E -8.55%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 19:49
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 19:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 19:50
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.12%EV -16.19%E -10.65%K -31.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-14 19:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-14 19:50
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-14 19:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-03-14 19:55