مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ajax v Sparta Rotterdam

البداية: 2026-03-14 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ajax (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.14%1.81السعر العادل
EV -3.50%
الأفضلية -2.00%
Kelly -4.67%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.85%55.19%55.17%56.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.681.681.7565.79%59.51%59.52%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sparta Rotterdam (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.98%4.55السعر العادل
EV +1.10%
الأفضلية +0.238%
Kelly +0.304%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.25%21.90%22.01%23.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.274.304.6026.67%23.44%23.26%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.88%4.37السعر العادل
EV +1.59%
الأفضلية +0.359%
Kelly +0.464%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.85%22.92%22.82%23.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.084.104.4428.57%24.51%24.39%22.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.73%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.42%EV -0.442%E -0.098%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV +1.59%E +0.359%K +0.464%G +0.007%3.1%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.25%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +0.680%E +0.154%K +0.200%G +0.001%2.8%2026-03-14 19:55
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.464%E -0.107%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -0.464%E -0.107%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-14 19:55
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.26%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:40
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.26%EV -3.50%E -2.00%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.76%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-14 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.82%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.13%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.68%EV -4.40%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.99%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -2.75%E -0.648%K -0.847%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:55
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.54%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.20%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-14 19:39
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-14 19:35
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.928%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:55
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.76%EV -4.61%E -2.66%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.16%EV +0.217%E +0.048%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.08%EV -4.35%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-14 19:55
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:44
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.25%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.78%EV -5.04%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 19:45
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.05%E -2.33%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 05:24
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.19%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.79%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 19:45
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%EV -5.71%E -3.34%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.50%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 19:35
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -5.16%E -3.00%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 19:35
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 19:45
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -9.57%E -5.83%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 19:55
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.49%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 19:35
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 19:54
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -10.12%E -6.21%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -6.18%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 19:55
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:50
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:50
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.03%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.16%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 19:50
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -7.36%E -4.38%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.01%EV -7.33%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 19:40
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV +1.10%E +0.238%K +0.304%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 19:50
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 19:35
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.06%EV -8.47%E -5.10%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -1.10%E -0.245%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -3.30%E -0.750%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:35
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:40
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 19:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.47%E -2.12%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 19:50
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.09%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -9.62%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 19:34
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -17.58%E -4.69%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 19:35
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -6.26%E -3.68%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 19:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -11.77%E -7.36%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.83%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 19:35
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.39%EV -13.43%E -8.55%K -23.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.02%EV -13.19%E -3.34%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.59%EV -11.91%E -3.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 19:49
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.02%E -5.47%K -13.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -4.84%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 19:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.91%E -4.74%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 19:45
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -10.67%E -6.59%K -17.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -7.69%E -1.83%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -14.19%E -3.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-14 19:50
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.12%EV -16.19%E -10.65%K -31.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.94%EV -12.09%E -3.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.94%EV -19.91%E -5.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-14 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.92%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.16%0.4%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-14 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-03-14 19:50
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.60%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%1.0%2026-03-14 19:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.92%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.51%2.1%2026-03-14 19:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%3.5%2026-03-14 19:55