Szkoła Kursów

Ajax v NEC Nijmegen

Początek: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

56 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ajax (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 52.50%1.90kurs godziwy
EV -2.87%
Przewaga -1.55%
Kelly -3.38%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
49.56%52.38%52.50%53.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.621.781.801.8561.73%56.10%55.56%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

NEC Nijmegen (Goście)

Prognoza 24.28%4.12kurs godziwy
EV -0.434%
Przewaga -0.106%
Kelly -0.140%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.31%24.37%24.28%25.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.353.823.854.1029.85%26.20%25.97%24.39%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.21%4.31kurs godziwy
EV -0.180%
Przewaga -0.042%
Kelly -0.054%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.24%23.25%23.21%25.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.403.943.994.3029.41%25.36%25.06%23.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (56 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.61%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV -0.180%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -2.38%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.26%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 07:40
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.18%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-20 05:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:45
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.58%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:40
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.37%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -7.61%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:54
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.08%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:45
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 07:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.58%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-21 19:38
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.59%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 08:09
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.75%E -6.32%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.14%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.75%EV -12.85%E -7.74%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -18.65%E -5.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.48%EV -13.37%E -8.10%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 19:49
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.38%EV -14.95%E -9.23%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.84%EV -18.65%E -5.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.78%EV -18.75%E -5.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 19:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-02-21 19:55