مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ajax v NEC Nijmegen

البداية: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ajax (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.50%1.90السعر العادل
EV -2.87%
الأفضلية -1.55%
Kelly -3.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.56%52.38%52.50%53.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.781.801.8561.73%56.10%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

NEC Nijmegen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.28%4.12السعر العادل
EV -0.434%
الأفضلية -0.106%
Kelly -0.140%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.31%24.37%24.28%25.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.823.854.1029.85%26.20%25.97%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.21%4.31السعر العادل
EV -0.180%
الأفضلية -0.042%
Kelly -0.054%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.24%23.25%23.21%25.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.943.994.3029.41%25.36%25.06%23.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.61%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV -0.180%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -2.38%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.26%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 07:40
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.18%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-20 05:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:45
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.58%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:40
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.37%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -7.61%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:54
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.08%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:45
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 07:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.58%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-21 19:38
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.59%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 08:09
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.75%E -6.32%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.14%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.75%EV -12.85%E -7.74%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -18.65%E -5.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.48%EV -13.37%E -8.10%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 19:49
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.38%EV -14.95%E -9.23%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.84%EV -18.65%E -5.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.78%EV -18.75%E -5.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 19:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-02-21 19:55