La scuola delle quote

Ajax v NEC Nijmegen

Inizio: 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ajax (Casa)

Previsione 52.50%1.90quota equa
EV -2.87%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.56%52.38%52.50%53.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.781.801.8561.73%56.10%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

NEC Nijmegen (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.28%4.12quota equa
EV -0.434%
Vantaggio -0.106%
Kelly -0.140%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.31%24.37%24.28%25.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.823.854.1029.85%26.20%25.97%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.21%4.31quota equa
EV -0.180%
Vantaggio -0.042%
Kelly -0.054%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.24%23.25%23.21%25.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.943.994.3029.41%25.36%25.06%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.58%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:55
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.39%EV -2.87%E -1.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -10.15%E -2.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.91%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:55
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.61%EV -3.40%E -1.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -5.53%E -1.42%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.51%EV -0.180%E -0.042%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 19:50
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.74%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV -2.38%E -0.591%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.26%EV -3.66%E -0.882%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 19:50
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 07:40
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 07:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.92%E -2.14%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 07:39
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.20%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 19:55
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.73%EV -4.45%E -2.44%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.18%EV -4.97%E -2.75%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 19:54
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -2.50%E -0.595%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-20 05:35
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.45%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 19:45
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -12.58%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -5.50%E -3.05%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.93%E -2.38%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -0.434%E -0.106%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 19:55
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.59%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -4.82%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.12%EV -6.02%E -3.36%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.86%E -0.716%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:45
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:40
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.37%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -7.61%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 19:54
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.55%E -3.68%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -4.08%E -1.03%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -10.63%E -2.76%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:45
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.58%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 07:35
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.72%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 51.58%EV -7.07%E -4.00%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -9.47%E -2.43%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.60%E -4.32%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -5.29%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.58%E -3.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 19:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -8.12%E -4.64%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.19%EV -8.65%E -4.97%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -6.50%E -1.69%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -12.95%E -3.45%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -9.17%E -5.30%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -17.43%E -5.13%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -21.07%E -6.20%K -8.78%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-21 19:38
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -9.70%E -5.64%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.59%EV -10.22%E -5.98%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -11.36%E -3.11%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 08:09
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.75%E -6.32%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -7.14%E -1.79%K -2.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.14%EV -11.80%E -7.02%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.26%EV -10.63%E -2.89%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -8.30%E -2.10%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 51.75%EV -12.85%E -7.74%K -19.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.64%EV -18.65%E -5.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%16.4%2026-02-20 05:35
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.48%EV -13.37%E -8.10%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -15.00%E -4.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -11.79%E -3.10%K -4.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 19:49
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.38%EV -14.95%E -9.23%K -24.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.84%EV -18.65%E -5.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.78%EV -18.75%E -5.36%K -7.50%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-21 19:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.27%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-02-21 19:55