Школа коэффициентов

Ajax v Groningen

Начало: 2026-05-21 16:45 UTC

Итог: Ajax 2–0 Groningen

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Ajax (Хозяева)

Прогноз 50.56%1.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.92%
Преимущество -1.52%
Kelly -3.17%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.92

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
49.14%50.57%50.52%52.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.731.831.831.9257.80%54.59%54.64%52.08%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Groningen (Гости)

Прогноз 24.29%4.12справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.73%
Преимущество +0.873%
Kelly +1.14%
Рост +0.042%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.75%24.28%24.29%25.46%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.873.884.2728.57%25.85%25.77%23.42%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.14%3.98справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.679%
Преимущество -0.172%
Kelly -0.230%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.93%25.16%25.19%26.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.663.703.9531.25%27.33%27.03%25.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.75%EV +3.73%E +0.873%K +1.14%G +0.042%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV -5.46%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 16:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.06%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 16:09
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.06%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.53%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 16:09
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -2.92%E -1.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.50%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 50.29%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:30
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 16:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.47%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.94%E -0.496%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 16:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:39
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.30%EV -5.75%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.94%E -0.496%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:39
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.19%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.96%EV -9.49%E -5.30%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:09
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.92%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.92%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:19
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 16:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 16:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 16:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -12.02%E -6.91%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 16:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.19%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -10.50%E -5.93%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:39
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -11.33%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 16:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.96%E -3.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.54%E -6.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-05-21 16:40
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-05-21 16:40