A Escola das Odds

Ajax v Groningen

Início: 2026-05-21 16:45 UTC

Final: Ajax 2–0 Groningen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ajax (Local)

Previsão 50.56%1.98odd justa
EV -2.92%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -3.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.14%50.57%50.52%52.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.831.831.9257.80%54.59%54.64%52.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Groningen (Visitante)

Previsão 24.29%4.12odd justa
EV +3.73%
Vantagem +0.873%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.042%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.75%24.28%24.29%25.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.873.884.2728.57%25.85%25.77%23.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.14%3.98odd justa
EV -0.679%
Vantagem -0.172%
Kelly -0.230%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.93%25.16%25.19%26.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.663.703.9531.25%27.33%27.03%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.75%EV +3.73%E +0.873%K +1.14%G +0.042%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV -5.46%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 16:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.06%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 16:09
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.06%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.53%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 16:09
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -2.92%E -1.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.50%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 50.29%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:30
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 16:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.47%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.94%E -0.496%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 16:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:39
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.30%EV -5.75%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.94%E -0.496%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:39
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.19%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.96%EV -9.49%E -5.30%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:09
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.92%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.92%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:19
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 16:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 16:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 16:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -12.02%E -6.91%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 16:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.19%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -10.50%E -5.93%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:39
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -11.33%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 16:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.96%E -3.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.54%E -6.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-05-21 16:40
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-05-21 16:40