مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ajax v Groningen

البداية: 2026-05-21 16:45 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Ajax 2–0 Groningen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ajax (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.56%1.98السعر العادل
EV -2.92%
الأفضلية -1.52%
Kelly -3.17%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.14%50.57%50.52%52.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.831.831.9257.80%54.59%54.64%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Groningen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.29%4.12السعر العادل
EV +3.73%
الأفضلية +0.873%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.042%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.75%24.28%24.29%25.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.873.884.2728.57%25.85%25.77%23.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.14%3.98السعر العادل
EV -0.679%
الأفضلية -0.172%
Kelly -0.230%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.93%25.16%25.19%26.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.663.703.9531.25%27.33%27.03%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -4.43%E -2.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.75%EV +3.73%E +0.873%K +1.14%G +0.042%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.84%EV -5.46%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 16:40
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.06%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 16:09
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.13%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.06%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-21 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.53%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.87%EV +3.24%E +0.762%K +0.997%G +0.032%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.60%EV -0.679%E -0.172%K -0.230%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-21 16:09
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.34%EV -2.92%E -1.52%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.50%EV -4.70%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-21 16:30
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 50.29%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-21 16:40
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:09
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-21 16:10
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -2.83%E -0.708%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:30
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:40
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -3.93%E -2.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:40
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.17%EV -8.48%E -4.68%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -4.05%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 16:20
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -4.29%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -7.47%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.48%EV -1.94%E -0.496%K -0.668%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.42%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 16:40
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-21 16:30
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -8.22%E -2.25%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:39
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:40
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -5.26%E -1.35%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-21 16:39
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.52%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.30%EV -5.75%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.94%E -0.496%K -0.668%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:39
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.19%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -4.94%E -2.63%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 16:40
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 50.96%EV -9.49%E -5.30%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-21 16:09
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 50.92%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:09
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 50.92%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -6.48%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.53%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-21 16:09
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 16:19
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-21 16:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-21 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 50.86%EV -11.01%E -6.25%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.69%E -2.02%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -3.42%E -1.79%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-21 16:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -5.45%E -2.91%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-21 16:40
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.51%E -4.27%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-21 16:30
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.99%EV -12.02%E -6.91%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -8.91%E -2.37%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-21 16:09
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -4.45%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-21 16:40
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.17%EV -6.46%E -3.49%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -3.19%E -0.829%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.58%EV -10.50%E -5.93%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.12%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.74%E -3.02%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-21 16:39
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.81%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -11.33%E -3.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -11.99%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-21 16:40
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.47%E -4.08%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -6.96%E -3.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.97%E -1.88%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-21 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.78%EV -10.00%E -5.62%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -5.71%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-21 16:39
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.99%E -4.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.55%E -3.49%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.48%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-21 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.14%EV -12.52%E -7.24%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.29%EV -14.98%E -4.28%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.57%EV -19.54%E -6.11%K -8.88%G +0.000%17.6%2026-05-21 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 52.05%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.15%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-05-21 16:40
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-05-21 16:40
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 51.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.96%1.4%2026-05-21 16:40